Alarming results from world first study of two decades of global smoke pollution

The world's first study of the increase in pollution from landscape fires across the globe over the past two decades reveals that over 2 billion people are exposed to at least one day of potentially health-impacting environmental hazard annually -- a figure that has increased by 6.8 per cent in the last ten years.

The study highlights the severity and scale of the landscape fire-sourced air pollution, its increased impact on the world's population and associated rise in public health risk. Exposure to fire-sourced air pollution has many adverse health impacts, including increased mortality and morbidity and a global worsening of cardiorespiratory conditions and mental health.

The study, published today (20 September) in Nature led by Australian scientists, estimated the global daily air pollution from all fires from 2000 to 2019 -- finding that 2.18 billion people were exposed to at least one day of substantial landscape fire air pollution in each year, with each person in the world having on average 9.9 days of exposure per year, an increase of 2.1 per cent in the last decade. It also found that exposure levels in low-income countries were about four-fold higher than in high income countries.

Led by Professors Yuming Guo and Shanshan Li, from Monash University's School of Population Health and Preventive Medicine, the study also found that the exposure levels of PM2.5 were particularly high in Central Africa, Southeast Asia, South America and Siberia. The study also looked at global landscape fire-sourced ozone, an important fire-related pollutant has only been estimated for United States.

In the study, landscape fires refer to any fires burning in natural and cultural landscapes, e.g. natural and planted forest, shrub, grass, pastures, agricultural lands and peri-urban areas, including both planned or controlled fires (e.g., prescribed burns, agricultural fires) and wildfires (defined as uncontrolled or unplanned fires burning in wildland vegetation).

The comprehensive assessment of the global population exposures to fire-sourced PM2.5 and ozone during 2000-2019 was calculated using a machine learning approach with inputs from chemical transport models, ground-based monitoring stations, and gridded weather data.

The recent pollution from the Canadian wildfires that spread smoke across North America highlighted the increase in severity and frequency of landscape fires due to climate change. According to Professor Guo, no study to date has looked at the long-range effect of this increase in landscape fires globally and wildfires often impact remote areas where there are few or no air quality monitoring stations. In addition, in many low-income countries, there are no air quality monitoring stations even in urban areas.

"The exposure to air pollution caused by landscape fire smoke travelling hundreds and sometimes even thousands of kilometres can affect much larger populations, and cause much larger public health risks," he said.

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20,000 premature US deaths caused by human-ignited fires each year

Over 80% of premature deaths caused by small smoke particles in the United States result directly from human-ignited fires. This is the outcome of a study published today in IOP Publishing's journal Environmental Research Letters.

The new study, led by researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, analyses the impact of smoke particles on air quality in the United States. Their research shows that human-ignited fires account for more than 67% of small smoke particles called PM2.5 in the United States. These particles are known to degrade air quality, causing respiratory illnesses and premature death.

The level of fire activity in the US is on the rise. The research team estimate that smoke from human-ignited fires was responsible for 20,000 premature deaths in 2018 alone, a year with a high frequency of fire events -- a substantial portion of which were associated with human ignitions such as agricultural and human lit fires. This is 270% more than there were in 2003, when there was a low frequency of fire events. The research highlights that during high fire activity years, there are much higher concentrations of smoke PM2.5 in the air.

Dr Therese Carter, lead author of the study, said: "Fires not only threaten human lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems, but they are also a major cause for concern in terms of air quality. High levels of smoke exposure can negatively impact human health resulting in conditions such as respiratory infections, lung cancer, heart disease and even premature births. Our results show that a large and significant portion of harmful smoke particles result directly from human-lit fires."

The team used the Global Fire Emissions Database to quantify agricultural fire emissions, then classify these fires into two categories: human vs. natural ignition. Applying a chemical transport model, they simulate the concentration of smoke particles across the United States, concluding that a significant portion of PM2.5 in the US results from human-ignited fires and thus has the potential to be managed.

To limit the devastating effects of pollution from small smoke particles, the team recommends an ignition-focused approach. State agencies can implement management plans to restrict the ignition of agricultural fires to periods when weather conditions would minimise health impacts. However, human-ignited wildfires are much harder to manage due to their sporadic and unplanned nature.

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